Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq Under-23s win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Argentina Under-23s	Draw	Iraq Under-23s
26.36% ( 11.29)	23.57% ( 4.17)	50.07% ( -15.46)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

4.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.53% (

-3.36)

43.47% (

3.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.13% (

-3.39)

65.87% (

3.39)

Argentina Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

9.32)

30.01% (

-9.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

9.9)

66.13% (

-9.9)

Iraq Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

-6.01)

17.46% (

6.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06% (

-11.66)

47.94% (

11.66)

Score Analysis

Argentina Under-23s 26.36%

Iraq Under-23s 50.07%

Draw 23.56%

Argentina Under-23s	Draw	Iraq Under-23s
2-1 @ 6.63% ( 2.37) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 2.1) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 1.83) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 1.34) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.89) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.91) Other @ 3.13% Total : 26.36%	1-1 @ 11% ( 1.89) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 1.18) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.74) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -2.59) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( -1.54) 0-3 @ 4.64% ( -3) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -1.42) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -2.11) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.34) Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.07%