Olympic Games Men's Football
-
Djordje Mihailovic
14'
-
Kevin Paredes
31'
-
Maximilian Dietz
36'
-
Kevin Paredes
75'
-
Ousmane Camara
38'
USA Under-23s vs Guinea U23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea U23s win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea U23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest USA Under-23s win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that USA Under-23s would win this match.
Result
USA Under-23s
23.85%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
23.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Guinea U23s
52.4%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
54.58%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.51%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
46.49%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
31.24%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
68.76%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
15.53%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
84.47%
▼
(-0.06)
USA Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5
66.33%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
33.67%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
29.68%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
70.32%
▼
(-0.11)
Guinea U23s Goals
Over 0.5
82.29%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
17.71%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
51.62%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
48.38%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
USA Under-23s
23.85%
Draw
23.74%
Guinea U23s
52.4%
USA Under-23s
1-0
@
6.49%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 23.85%
2-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 23.85%
Draw
1-1
@
11.23%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
0-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
Guinea U23s
0-1
@
10.32%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.4%
1-2 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.4%