Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera

France U23s
1 - 0
Guinea U23s

Sildillia (75')
Bade (45+9'), Lacazette (49'), Kone (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Toure (45+2')
Keita (74'), Naby Juni Camara (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between France and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: France U23s 3-0 USA U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
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Last Game: Guinea U23s 1-2 N.Zealand U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Guinea U23s had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Guinea U23s win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France Under-23s.

Result
France Under-23sDrawGuinea U23s
67.2% (4.061 4.06)20.73% (-1.608 -1.61)12.07% (-2.448 -2.45)
Both teams to score 41.41% (-1.777 -1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (1.248 1.25)52.29% (-1.243 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (1.066 1.07)73.99% (-1.061 -1.06)
France Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (1.75 1.75)14.69% (-1.745 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (3.25 3.25)42.87% (-3.245 -3.25)
Guinea U23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.54% (-3.141 -3.14)51.46% (3.145 3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.35% (-2.182 -2.18)85.65% (2.188 2.19)
Score Analysis
    France Under-23s 67.19%
    Guinea U23s 12.07%
    Draw 20.73%
France Under-23sDrawGuinea U23s
1-0 @ 14.5% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 13.9% (0.96 0.96)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 8.89% (1.097 1.1)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.238 0.24)
4-0 @ 4.26% (0.745 0.75)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.273 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.364 0.36)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.162 0.16)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 67.19%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.797 -0.8)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.357 -0.36)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.73%
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.754 -0.75)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.594 -0.59)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.432 -0.43)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: France vs Guinea

France
89.1%
Draw
8.7%
Guinea
2.2%
46
rhs 2.0


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