Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
