Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Coleraine in this match.
