UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Sweden national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Friends Arena
Portugal national football team

Sweden
0 - 2
Portugal


Svensson (14'), Andersson (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ronaldo (45+1', 72')
Guerreiro (57'), Felix (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Sweden and Portugal, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawPortugal
35.96%26.7%37.33%
Both teams to score 51.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.83%53.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26%74.73%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9%63.1%
Score Analysis
    Sweden 35.96%
    Portugal 37.33%
    Draw 26.7%
SwedenDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.96%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.33%