National League | Gameweek 21

Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
4 - 2
Dag & Red

Sheron (56'), Yarney (60'), Nuttall (90' pen.), Chapman (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morias (29'), Robinson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 0-1 Halifax
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
36.75% ( -1.44)	24.87% ( 0.5)	38.38% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 58.2% (

-1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92% (

-2.4)

45.08% (

2.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57% (

-2.35)

67.43% (

2.34)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

-1.84)

24.14% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55% (

-2.68)

58.45% (

2.68)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-0.59)

23.28% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

-0.87)

57.21% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 36.75%

Dagenham & Redbridge 38.38%

Draw 24.87%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.75%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.38%