National League | Gameweek 3

Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Recreation Ground

Aldershot
1 - 2
Sutton

Bettamer (75')
Nouble (59'), Edser (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Eastmond (39'), Randall (85')
Eastmond (61'), Bugiel (66'), Rowe (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Sutton United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Sutton United
33.46%	28.35%	38.19%

Both teams to score 46.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.31%

59.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20%

80%

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73%

33.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12%

69.89%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77%

30.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6%

66.4%

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 33.46%

Sutton United 38.19%

Draw 28.35%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.35%	0-1 @ 12.03% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.19%

Aldershot1 - 2Sutton

Data Analysis

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