National League North | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Oxford City

Carline (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Oxford City
53.17% ( 0.64)	25.64% ( 0.04)	21.2% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 45.75% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.46% (

-0.77)

56.54% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47% (

-0.62)

77.53% (

0.63)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

-0.05)

21.32% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73% (

-0.07)

54.27% (

0.08)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.15% (

-1.13)

41.85% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.7% (

-1)

78.3% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 53.16%

Oxford City 21.2%

Draw 25.64%

Brackley Town	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.16%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.13% Total : 21.2%