World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Mozambique national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 1pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Uganda national football team

Mozambique
3 - 1
Uganda

Miguel Neves Santos (3', 16'), Ratifo (45+3')
Bauque (80'), Nanani (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Shaban (7')
Omedi (33')
Omedi (38')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Uganda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mozambique
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Uganda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 0-1 Uganda
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
MozambiqueDrawUganda
29.71% (0.004999999999999 0)29.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)40.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 42.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.92% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.87% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)83.13% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)38.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)75.07% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)67.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 29.71%
    Uganda 40.89%
    Draw 29.38%
MozambiqueDrawUganda
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.38%
0-1 @ 13.89%
0-2 @ 8.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 0.95%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 40.89%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Uganda

Mozambique
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Uganda
28.6%
7