World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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Pedro Miguel Neves Santos
3'
-
Pedro Miguel Neves Santos
16'
-
Stanley Ratifo
45'+3'
-
Clesio Bauque
80'
-
Nanani
90'+3'
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Muhammad Shaban
7'
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Denis Omedi
33'
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Denis Omedi
38'
Mozambique vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result
Mozambique
29.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
29.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Uganda
40.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
42.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
63.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
16.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
83.13%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
6.6%
Under 4.5
93.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5
61.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
38.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
24.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
75.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5
69.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
30.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
32.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
67.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Mozambique
29.71%
Draw
29.38%
Uganda
40.89%
Mozambique
1-0
@
11.3%
2-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 29.71%
2-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 29.71%
Draw
1-1
@
13.32%
0-0 @ 11.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.38%
0-0 @ 11.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.38%
Uganda
0-1
@
13.89%
0-2 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.89%
0-2 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.89%