Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for DC United in this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 48.74% ( | 23.75% ( | 27.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( | 43.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( | 65.81% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( | 17.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.21% ( | 48.78% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( | 29.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( | 65.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.51% |