Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Apr 26, 2025 9.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
DC United
  • Jakob Glesnes 7' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 15' goal
  • Francis Westfield 34' yellowcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 52' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 77' goal
  • Danley Jean Jacques 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 4'
  • yellowcard Bibi Hakim Karamoko 72'
  • yellowcard Luis Barraza 78'

Philadelphia Union vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 1 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Christian Benteke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result

Philadelphia Union 48.17% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 23.22% ▼ (-0.06)
DC United 28.61% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.82% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 40.18% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 37.45% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 62.55% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 20.13% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 79.87% ▼ (-0.15)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 83.07% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 16.93% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 53% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 47% ▼ (-0.27)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 73.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.94% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 48.17%
Draw 23.22%
DC United 28.61%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.22%
DC United
1-2 @ 7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.61%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 22, 2024 11.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Subaru Park
DC United
  • Mikael Uhre 13' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 16' goal
  • Tai Baribo 51' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 70' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Herrera 25'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dajome 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
DC United
May 5, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT Audi Field
Philadelphia
  • Cristian Dajome 9' goal
  • Cristian Dajome 9' goal
  • Jacob Murrell 33' goal
  • Jacob Murrell 33' goal
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 20'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 20'
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 42'
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 42'
  • yellowcard Leon Flach 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Leon Flach 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 45'+2'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 79'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 79'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 6
FT Audi Field
Philadelphia
  • Tyler Miller 36' yellowcard
  • Tyler Miller 36' yellowcard
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 88' goal
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 88' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 5'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 5'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 13'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 13'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 38'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 38'
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 68'
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 68'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 76'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 76'
  • yellowcard Chris Donovan 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Chris Donovan 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
May 18, 2023 12.55am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
DC United
Major League Soccer
DC United
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT
Philadelphia
  • goal Mikael Uhre 37'
  • goal Julian Carranza 47'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 45'+4'
  • goal Julian Carranza 70'
  • goal Julian Carranza 74'
  • goal Cory Burke 79'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jul 9, 2022 12.30am
7
0
HT : 6 0
FT
DC United
  • Alejandro Bedoya 9' goal
  • Julian Carranza 22' goal
  • Julian Carranza 25' goal
  • Julian Carranza 25' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 37' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 45'+2' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 59' goal
  • Julian Carranza 72' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Birnbaum 36'
  • yellowcard Chris Odoi-Atsem 69'

Form Data

Philadelphia 3 - 0 Atlanta
NY City 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Orlando City
Inter Miami 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 0 St Louis City
Philadelphia 1 - 3 Nashville
NY Red Bulls 1 - 2 DC United
DC United 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Earthquakes 6 - 1 DC United
DC United 1 - 2 Columbus Crew
Orlando City 4 - 1 DC United
DC United 0 - 0 Montreal