Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
48.17% (![]() | 23.22% (![]() | 28.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.82% (![]() | 40.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.45% (![]() | 62.55% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.07% (![]() | 16.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53% (![]() | 47% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% (![]() | 26.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% (![]() | 61.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
2-1 @ 9.41% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 4.16% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 10.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
5 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
13 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |