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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Subaru Park
DC United

Philadelphia
3 - 0
DC United

Glesnes (15'), Jean Jacques (52'), Damiani (77')
Glesnes (7'), Westfield (34'), Jean Jacques (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowles (4'), Hakim Karamoko (72'), Barraza (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 DC United
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 DC United

Recent meetings between Saturday's opponents suggest a high-scoring affair, and we are expecting the game to pan out that way. That said, we are also backing the home side to flex their muscle in front of goal once again en route to a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
48.17% (0.212 0.21) 23.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 28.61% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 60.9% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.82% (0.183 0.18)40.18% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.45% (0.189 0.19)62.55% (-0.187 -0.19)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.07% (0.149 0.15)16.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (0.262 0.26)47% (-0.261 -0.26)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.68% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)61.94% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 48.17%
    DC United 28.61%
    Draw 23.22%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.61%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs DC United

Philadelphia Union
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 11.15pm
Philadelphia
4-0
DC United
Uhre (13'), Gazdag (16', 70'), Baribo (51')

Herrera (25'), Dajome (90+3')
May 5, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Philadelphia
Dajome (9'), Murrell (33')
Ku-Dipietro (90+2')
Bedoya (42'), McGlynn (79')
Carranza (20'), Flach (45+2'), Lowe (45+2')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-3
Philadelphia
Ku-Dipietro (88')
Miller (36')
Uhre (5'), McGlynn (13'), Gazdag (38' pen.)
Harriel (68'), Glesnes (76'), Donovan (90+4')
May 18, 2023 12.55am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-6
Philadelphia
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4Orlando City135622415921
5Nashville SCNashville136342215721
6Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
7New York City FCNY City136251514120
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire135442424019
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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