Major League Soccer

Apr 26, 2025 at 9.30pm UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
3 - 0
DC United

Glesnes (15'), Jean Jacques (52'), Damiani (77')
Glesnes (7'), Westfield (34'), Jean Jacques (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowles (4'), Hakim Karamoko (72'), Barraza (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 DC United
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	DC United
48.17% ( 0.21)	23.22% ( -0.06)	28.61% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 60.9% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.82% (

0.18)

40.18% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.45% (

0.19)

62.55% (

-0.19)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.07% (

0.15)

16.93% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53% (

0.26)

47% (

-0.26)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

-0.01)

26.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

-0.01)

61.94% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 48.17%

DC United 28.61%

Draw 23.22%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	DC United
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.16% Total : 48.17%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 7% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.61%