Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
40.97% ( -0.76) | 26.82% ( 0.18) | 32.21% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.82% ( -0.53) | 54.18% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% ( -0.44) | 75.59% ( 0.44) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.64) | 26.03% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( -0.87) | 61.06% ( 0.87) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.7% ( 0.13) | 31.29% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.35% ( 0.15) | 67.65% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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