MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 07:50:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
1 - 1
Union

Eduardo Recalde (25')
Gomez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zenon (61')
Corvalan (45'), Gordillo (65'), Vera (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 2-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 4 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Union

Union's recent form has been excellent, and they will enter this match full of confidence. Newell's Old Boys are also unbeaten in their last four, though, and we are therefore struggling to separate them here, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Union had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawUnion
52.21% (-0.119 -0.12) 28.9% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 18.89% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 35.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.48% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.75% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)86.25% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)27.04% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)62.41% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.43% (0.098999999999997 0.1)51.57% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.28% (0.065000000000001 0.07)85.72% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 52.2%
    Union 18.89%
    Draw 28.89%
Newell's Old BoysDrawUnion
1-0 @ 18.23% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.92% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 52.2%
0-0 @ 13.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 18.89%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Union

Newell's Old Boys
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Union
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 1.30am
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
gameweek 9
Union
1-0
Newell's OB
Gonzalez (60' pen.)
Polenta (49'), Luna Diale (62'), Corvalan (69'), Carlos Portillo (73'), Mele (77'), Roldan (80'), Bucca (90+3')

Perez (52'), Fernandez (77'), Giani (85'), Sforza (90+5')
Nov 8, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Newell's OB
1-0
Union
Perez (50')

Esquivel (90')
Aug 17, 2019 7.30pm
gameweek 3
Newell's OB
2-0
Union
Nadalin (57'), Albertengo (83')
Fernandez (50')

Gomez (40'), Acevedo (69'), Martinez (81')
Feb 3, 2019 8.10pm
gameweek 17
Union
0-0
Newell's OB

Zabala (58'), Martinez (93')

Rivero (36'), Torres (89')
rhs 2.0
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