Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Reims had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Reims |
47.99% ( -0) | 26.11% | 25.9% |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.62% | 54.38% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.24% ( 0) | 75.76% ( -0) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( 0) | 22.67% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( 0) | 56.32% ( -0) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.79% ( 0) | 36.21% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.01% ( 0) | 72.99% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.92% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |