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Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
4 - 1
Atlas

Beltran (9'), Marin (63', 84'), Alvarado (90+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rocha (44')
Santamaria (36'), Hernandez (45+3'), Abella (82'), Vargas (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Puebla
Friday, September 29 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawAtlas
41.41% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 27.84% (-0.194 -0.19) 30.75% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.28% (0.589 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.57% (0.72 0.72)58.43% (-0.722 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.558 0.56)79.03% (-0.559 -0.56)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.387 0.39)27.77% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (0.49 0.49)63.35% (-0.493 -0.49)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (0.468 0.47)34.54% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (0.494 0.49)71.26% (-0.495 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 41.41%
    Atlas 30.74%
    Draw 27.83%
CD GuadalajaraDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 12.28% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 41.41%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 30.74%

Head to Head
May 15, 2023 2.05am
May 12, 2023 2am
Apr 2, 2023 4.10am
Aug 14, 2022 3.05am
May 16, 2022 12am
Atlas
1-1
Guadalajara
Chala (19'), Rocha (30'), Vargas (42'), Zaldivar (55'), Aguilera (90+1')
Marquez (70')
Flores (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915


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