World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 10, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • Enner Valencia 54' goal
  • Kendry Paez 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 28'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 37'
  • yellowcard Anderson Santamaria 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marcos Lopez 61'

Ecuador vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 7, 2024 2.00am
Brazil 1 - 0 Ecuador

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 7, 2024 2.30am
Peru 1 - 1 Colombia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Peru had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.

Result

Ecuador 63.09% (+0.09)
Draw 22.96% (-0.12)
Peru 13.95% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.27% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.25% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 56.74% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 22.31% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 77.69% (-0.37)
Over 4.5 9.69% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 90.3% (-0.22)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 82.41% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 17.59% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 51.84% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 48.16% (-0.34)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 48.87% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 51.13% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 14.57% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 85.43% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Ecuador 63.08%
Draw 22.96%
Peru 13.95%
Ecuador
1-0 @ 15.62% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 13.58% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.11% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.87% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.28% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.29% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 63.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 3.06% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.96%
Peru
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.52% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 13.95%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Feb 2, 2022 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Raziel Garcia 34' yellowcard
  • Jose Aurelio Carvallo Alonso 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Jose Carvallo 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Luis Advincula 51' yellowcard
  • Edison Flores 69' goal
  • goal Michael Estrada 2'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 28'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 38'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 63'
Copa America
Jun 23, 2021 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Renato Tapia 23' goal
  • Ayrton Preciado 45'+3' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 57' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 49'
  • goal Andre Carrillo 54'
  • yellowcard Christian Ramos 88'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jun 8, 2021 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Moises Caicedo 28' yellowcard
  • Alexander Dominguez 79' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 22'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 26'
  • goal Christian Cueva 63'
  • goal Luis Advincula 88'
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 90'+3'
International Friendlies
Sep 6, 2019 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
  • Christofer Gonzales 43' yellowcard
  • Miguel Trauco 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Xavier Arreaga 22'
  • yellowcard Michael Estrada 27'
  • goal Erick Castillo 47'
International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2018 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Jefferson Orejuela 36'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 41'
  • goal Antonio Valencia 47'
  • goal Enner Valencia 74'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 5, 2017 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
  • Enner Valencia 79' goal
  • goal Edison Flores 73'
  • goal Paolo Hurtado 76'