Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Inter Miami |
53.78% ( 0.21) | 23.62% ( -0.1) | 22.6% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( 0.3) | 47.25% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( 0.28) | 69.48% ( -0.27) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% ( 0.19) | 17.49% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% ( 0.33) | 47.98% ( -0.33) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.78% ( 0.06) | 35.22% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.03% ( 0.07) | 71.97% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 53.77% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 22.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |