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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 39.7% | 27.15% | 33.16% |
| Both teams to score 50.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% | 55.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% | 76.5% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% | 27.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% | 62.65% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% | 31.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% | 67.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.69% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.16% |