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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 43.56% | 27.96% | 28.48% |
| Both teams to score 45.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.34% | 59.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.03% | 79.98% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% | 27.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% | 62.61% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% | 36.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% | 73.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 8.52% 2-1 @ 8.48% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.87% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.48% |