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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 29.88% | 25.52% | 44.6% |
| Both teams to score 53.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% | 49.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% | 71.75% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% | 30.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% | 22.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% | 55.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.59% |