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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 25.7% | 24.31% | 50% |
| Both teams to score 54.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.76% | 47.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% | 69.47% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% | 32.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% | 69.05% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% | 18.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% | 50.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.7% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.99% |