Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 29.27% | 26.37% | 44.36% |
| Both teams to score 50.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% | 53.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% | 75.01% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% | 33.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% | 69.63% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% | 23.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% | 58.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.27% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 8.08% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.35% |