J1 League | Gameweek 26
Sep 19, 2020 at 8am UK
Tosu Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Sagan Tosu
1 - 3
Yokohama

Hayashi (21')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Lima (1'), Santos (13'), Junior (34')
Mizunuma (44'), Wada (45'), Koike (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Yokohama F Marinos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawYokohama F Marinos
24.82%23.82%51.36%
Both teams to score 55.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1%45.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79%68.21%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48%32.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95%69.06%
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11%17.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32%48.68%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 24.82%
    Yokohama F Marinos 51.36%
    Draw 23.81%
Sagan TosuDrawYokohama F Marinos
1-0 @ 6.54%
2-1 @ 6.32%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.82%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 5.82%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 8.62%
1-3 @ 5.55%
0-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 51.36%