Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.51%).