Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2020 at 8pm UK
Cars Jeans Stadion
Algeria national football team

Mexico
2 - 2
Algeria

Corona (43'), Lainez (86')
Herrera (24'), dos Santos (28'), Araujo (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bennacer (45'), Mahrez (67')
Guedioura (26'), Bensebaini (57')
Guedioura (55')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Mexico and Algeria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawAlgeria
47.6%26.71%25.69%
Both teams to score 47.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25%56.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31%77.7%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94%58.07%
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.32%37.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54%74.46%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 47.59%
    Algeria 25.69%
    Draw 26.71%
MexicoDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 9%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 25.69%

rhs 2.0


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