Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT TQL Stadium
  • Kévin Denkey 15' goal

FC Cincinnati vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 12.00am
Cincinnati 0 - 0 Louisville City

Burnley

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.76% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%) , while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 63.18% (+0.15)
Draw 20.76% (-0.14)
Burnley 16.05% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.57% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.68% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 15.32% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 65.84%
Under 2.5 34.16% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 44.31% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 55.69% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 30.56% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 69.44% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 47.09% (-0.08)
Draw 36.37% (-0.02)
Burnley 16.54% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 65.05% (-0.30)
No Goal 4.08% (-0.05)
Burnley 30.87% (+0.34)

Corners

Over 8 61.16% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.8%
Under 8 28.04% (-0.02)
Over 9 49.86% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.29%
Under 9 38.84% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 39.01%
Under 10.5 60.99%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 64.73% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 35.27% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 40.93% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 59.07% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 21.74% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 78.26% (-0.05)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 52.11% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 47.89% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.27% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.3% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.7% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.36% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 63.18%
Draw 20.76%
Burnley 16.06%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.81% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.96% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.53% (+0.06)
Other @ 21.15% (+0.08)
Total : 63.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.25%
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.59% (-0.03)
Total : 20.76%
Burnley
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.43% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Total : 16.06%