Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.