Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 14, 2026 12.30am
TQL Stadium
Inter Miami

FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 12.30am
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 2 - 4 Inter Miami
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 33.76% and a draw has a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 2-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.96%).

Result

FC Cincinnati 33.76% ▼ (-0.61)
Draw 23.21% ▼ (-0.36)
Inter Miami 43.02% ▲ (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.99% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.78% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 15.22% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 65.28% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 2.5 34.72% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 43.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 56.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 27.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 72.47% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 31.95% ▼ (-1.96)
Draw 38.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Inter Miami 29.76% ▲ (+2.02)

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 49.94% ▼ (-0.21)
No Goal 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Inter Miami 46.31% ▲ (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 53.66% ▼ (-1.98)
Equal 8 12.04% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 8 34.3% ▲ (+2.10)
Over 9 41.78% ▼ (-1.65)
Equal 9 11.88% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 9 46.34% ▲ (+1.98)
Over 10.5 31.04% ▼ (-1.21)
Under 10.5 68.96% ▲ (+1.20)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 42.25% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 1.5 57.75% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 2.5 19.1% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 2.5 80.9% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 7.39% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 92.61% ▲ (+0.13)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 77.76% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 0.5 22.24% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 1.5 50.01% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 49.99% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 25.25% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 74.75% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 10.44% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 89.56% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 33.77%
Draw 23.21%
Inter Miami 43.01%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 33.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.4% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 23.21%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 3.14%
Other @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.24)
Total : 43.01%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Cincinnati
Nov 23, 2025 10.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Jul 27, 2025 12.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jul 17, 2025 12.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Luis Suarez 1' goal
  • Luis Suarez 1' goal
  • Luis Suarez 6' goal
  • Luis Suarez 6' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 12' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 12' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 42' redcard
  • Tomas Aviles 42' redcard
  • Luis Suarez 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 42'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 42'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 65'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 65'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 78'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 78'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
6
1
HT : 8 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Inter Miami
  • Yuya Kubo 10' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 10' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 36' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 36' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 38' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 38' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 55' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 55' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 57' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 57' goal
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 72' goal
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 72' goal
  • Sergio Santos 90' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 90' yellowcard
  • goal Serhiy Krivtsov 21'
  • goal Serhiy Krivtsov 21'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 54'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 54'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 59'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 59'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 61'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 61'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 62'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 62'
  • redcard Sergio Busquets 63'
  • redcard Sergio Busquets 63'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Cincinnati
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 27'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 27'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 78'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 78'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 83'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 84'

Form Data

Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
NY City 4 - 4 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 3 - 3 Chicago Fire
Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Toronto 2 - 4 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Orlando City
Inter Miami 1 - 1 New England
Salt Lake 0 - 2 Inter Miami
Colorado 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 2 NY Red Bulls