Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 12.30am
3
2
HT : 0 1
LIVE TQL Stadium
  • Kévin Denkey 41' yellowcard
  • Pavel Bucha 49' goal
  • Ender Echenique 60' yellowcard
  • Evander 64' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 72' yellowcard
  • A. Chirilă 73' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 73' yellowcard
  • goal Lionel Messi  24'
  • goal Lionel Messi  55'
  • yellowcard David Ruíz  65'
  • yellowcard Facundo Mura 65'

FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 12.30am
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 2 - 4 Inter Miami
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 35.72% (-0.08)
Draw 22.95% (+0.03)
Inter Miami 41.32% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.46% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 15.58% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 64.61% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 35.35% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 42.53% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 57.47% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 26.8% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 73.2% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 32.66%
Draw 38.31%
Inter Miami 29.03%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 50.86% (-0.01)
No Goal 3.83% (+0.03)
Inter Miami 45.31% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.6%
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 35.47%
Over 9 40.92%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 47.4%
Over 10.5 30.43%
Under 10.5 69.57%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 43.29% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.71% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.78% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 80.22% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.6% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.4% (+0.05)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 76.44% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.56% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 48.08% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.92% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.34% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.66% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.34% (+0.04)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 35.72%
Draw 22.96%
Inter Miami 41.32%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.18%
1-0 @ 5.59%
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33%
Other @ 7.28% (-0.05)
Total : 35.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.77%
0-0 @ 3.83% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.96%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 8.58% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.16% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.28% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 4.03%
0-3 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.34% (-0.03)
Total : 41.32%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 23, 2025 10.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Jul 27, 2025 12.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2025 12.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 1' goal
  • Luis Suarez 1' goal
  • Luis Suarez 6' goal
  • Luis Suarez 6' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 12' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 12' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 42' redcard
  • Tomas Aviles 42' redcard
  • Luis Suarez 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 42'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 42'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 65'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 65'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 78'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 78'
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
6
1
HT : 8 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Yuya Kubo 10' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 10' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 36' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 36' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 38' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 38' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 55' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 55' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 57' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 57' goal
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 72' goal
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 72' goal
  • Sergio Santos 90' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 90' yellowcard
  • goal Serhiy Krivtsov 21'
  • goal Serhiy Krivtsov 21'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 54'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 54'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 59'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 59'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 61'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 61'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 62'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 62'
  • redcard Sergio Busquets 63'
  • redcard Sergio Busquets 63'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 27'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 27'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 78'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 78'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 83'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 84'