Major League Soccer
May 24, 2026 12.30am
TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.30am
San Diego 3 - 3 Cincinnati
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 17, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Orlando City has a probability of 25.71% and a draw has a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Orlando City win is 1-2 (6.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.35%).

Result

FC Cincinnati 51.51%
Draw 22.82%
Orlando City 25.71% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.31% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 14.69% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 66.69% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 33.31% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 45.25%
Under 3.5 54.75%
Over 4.5 29.52% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 70.48% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 41.3%
Draw 34.88%
Orlando City 23.82%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 55.89%
No Goal 3.74%
Orlando City 40.37%

Corners

Over 8 63.78%
Equal 8 10.51%
Under 8 25.71%
Over 9 52.57%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 36.22%
Over 10.5 41.56%
Under 10.5 58.44%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 57.72% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 42.28% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 32.04% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 67.96% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 15.75%
Under 3.5 84.25%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 64.4% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.6% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.25% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.75% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.33% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.91% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 51.52%
Draw 22.82%
Orlando City 25.72%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-2 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 15.22%
Total : 51.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 7.09%
0-0 @ 3.74%
3-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.82%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.38% (+0.01)
Total : 25.72%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 11, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Exploria Stadium
  • goal Evander 21'
  • goal Barlow 77'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 29, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Kevin Kelsy 35' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 35' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 45' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45' goal
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 10'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 10'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 17'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 17'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 66'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 66'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 72'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 72'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 23' redcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 23' redcard
  • Cesar Araujo 30' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 30' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 62' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 64' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 64' yellowcard
  • Michael Halliday 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Michael Halliday 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Acosta 1'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 1'
  • yellowcard Bret Halsey 55'
  • yellowcard Bret Halsey 55'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 56'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 56'
  • yellowcard Michael Halliday 66'
  • yellowcard Michael Halliday 66'
  • redcard Bret Halsey 78'
  • redcard Bret Halsey 78'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Valenzuela 90'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Valenzuela 90'
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 3 2
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Karim Tmimi 15'+15' goal
  • Karim Tmimi 15'+15' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 44' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 44' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 30'+30' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Firmino 81'+81' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Santos 13'
  • yellowcard Rafael Santos 13'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 41'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 41'
  • goal Facundo Torres 44'
  • goal Facundo Torres 44'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 55'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 55'
  • redcard Wilder Cartagena 90'+5'
  • redcard Wilder Cartagena 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Junior Urso 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+11'
  • goal Benjamin Stitz 57'+57'