FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Glebe Ground

Whickham
1 - 0
Carlisle City

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Whickham and Carlisle City.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Whickham win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Carlisle City had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Whickham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.98%) and 3-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Carlisle City win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Whickham would win this match.

Result
WhickhamDrawCarlisle City
48.4% (-1.345 -1.35)20.47% (-0.128 -0.13)31.12% (1.465 1.47)
Both teams to score 73.12% (1.492 1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.01% (1.535 1.54)24.99% (-1.541 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.09% (1.981 1.98)44.9% (-1.988 -1.99)
Whickham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (0.17099999999999 0.17)11.26% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15% (0.38 0.38)35.85% (-0.384 -0.38)
Carlisle City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (1.52 1.52)17.6% (-1.526 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (2.58 2.58)48.18% (-2.587 -2.59)
Score Analysis
    Whickham 48.4%
    Carlisle City 31.12%
    Draw 20.47%
WhickhamDrawCarlisle City
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 5.19% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.417 -0.42)
1-0 @ 4.33% (-0.415 -0.42)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.276 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.84% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-3 @ 1.64% (0.122 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 7.52% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 7.13% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 3.01% (0.202 0.2)
0-0 @ 1.98% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.13% (0.252 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.204 0.2)
0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.189 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.163 0.16)
3-4 @ 1.31% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 31.12%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Whickham