Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnham Town win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Tunbridge Wells had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-3 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Tunbridge Wells win it was 2-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnham Town would win this match.