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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
2inspire Park
Macclesfield Town

Tadcaster Albion
0 - 3
Macclesfield

FT(HT: 0-0)
Dawson (58', 83')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Tadcaster Albion and Macclesfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tadcaster Albion

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Last Game: Boro Rangers 0-1 Tadcaster Albion
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Macclesfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Macclesfield 2-2 Rochdale
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 70.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Tadcaster Albion had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-3 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Tadcaster Albion win it was 2-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macclesfield Town would win this match.

Result
Tadcaster AlbionDrawMacclesfield Town
12.68% (0.055 0.05)16.53% (0.038999999999998 0.04)70.78% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.75% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.21% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.68% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)53.31% (0.058 0.06)
Tadcaster Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (0.049999999999997 0.05)37.23% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (0.048999999999999 0.05)74.02% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Macclesfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)7.98% (0.031 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)28.15% (0.081 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Tadcaster Albion 12.68%
    Macclesfield Town 70.78%
    Draw 16.53%
Tadcaster AlbionDrawMacclesfield Town
2-1 @ 3.67% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.94% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 12.68%
1-1 @ 7.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.53%
0-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 8% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 5% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 2.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-6 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 70.78%