Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Park win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Mole Valley SCR had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Mole Valley SCR win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Park would win this match.