Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
King George's Field

South Park
3 - 1
Mole Valley SCR

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between South Park and Mole Valley SCR.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Park

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Mole Valley SCR

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Park win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Mole Valley SCR had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Mole Valley SCR win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Park would win this match.

Result
South ParkDrawMole Valley SCR
39.39% (0.395 0.4)23.31%37.3% (-0.395 -0.39)
Both teams to score 64.1% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)37.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.32% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)59.68% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
South Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.17 0.17)19.45% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (0.277 0.28)51.29% (-0.279 -0.28)
Mole Valley SCR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)20.43% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.319 -0.32)52.87% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    South Park 39.39%
    Mole Valley SCR 37.3%
    Draw 23.31%
South ParkDrawMole Valley SCR
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.3%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for South Park