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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rylands Recreation Club

Rylands
3 - 1
Newton Aycliffe

Massanka (30'), Burns (66'), Porter (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jackson (17')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Rylands and Newton Aycliffe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rylands

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Last Game: Newton Aycliffe 1-1 Rylands
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Newton Aycliffe

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Last Game: Newton Aycliffe 1-1 Rylands
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rylands win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Newton Aycliffe had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rylands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Newton Aycliffe win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rylands would win this match.

Result
RylandsDrawNewton Aycliffe
52.03% (-0.378 -0.38)23.16% (0.134 0.13)24.81% (0.246 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (-0.367 -0.37)42.98% (0.37 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)65.38% (0.367 0.37)
Rylands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27)16.56% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (-0.486 -0.49)46.34% (0.489 0.49)
Newton Aycliffe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)30.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.0039999999999978 0)67.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rylands 52.03%
    Newton Aycliffe 24.81%
    Draw 23.15%
RylandsDrawNewton Aycliffe
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.01% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.81%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Second Round Qualifying
Newton Aycliffe
1-1
Rylands
Thexton (76')