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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
 

Newton Aycliffe
1 - 1
Bamber Bridge

Petitjean (76')
FT
(aet)
Mullarkey-Matthews (64')
Newton Aycliffe win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Newton Aycliffe and Bamber Bridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newton Aycliffe

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Last Game: Bamber Bridge 1-1 Newton Aycliffe
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Bamber Bridge

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Last Game: Bamber Bridge 1-1 Newton Aycliffe
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bamber Bridge win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Newton Aycliffe has a probability of 34.66% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bamber Bridge win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.37%) and 0-1 (5.19%). The likeliest Newton Aycliffe win is 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.8%).

Result
Newton AycliffeDrawBamber Bridge
34.66% (-1.209 -1.21)21.79% (0.208 0.21)43.55% (1.003 1)
Both teams to score 69.56% (-1.168 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.84% (-1.379 -1.38)30.16% (1.38 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.61% (-1.675 -1.68)51.38% (1.675 1.68)
Newton Aycliffe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-1.182 -1.18)18.39% (1.183 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-2.04 -2.04)49.54% (2.042 2.04)
Bamber Bridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.193 -0.19)14.76% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (-0.37 -0.37)43% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Newton Aycliffe 34.66%
    Bamber Bridge 43.55%
    Draw 21.79%
Newton AycliffeDrawBamber Bridge
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.6% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-0 @ 3.89% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 7.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.72% (0.208 0.21)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.227 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.37% (0.109 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.364 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.317 0.32)
2-3 @ 4.54% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 2.57% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.077 0.08)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 43.55%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Bamber Bridge
1-1
Newton Aycliffe
Dawson (70')