FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
McMullen Park

Real Bedford
2 - 3
St Neots Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Real Bedford and St Neots Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Neots Town win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Real Bedford had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Neots Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.8%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Real Bedford win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Neots Town would win this match.

Result
Real BedfordDrawSt Neots Town
36.12% (0.067999999999998 0.07)22.53% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 67.02% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.4% (0.062000000000012 0.06)33.59% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.59% (0.071000000000005 0.07)55.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
Real Bedford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (0.058999999999997 0.06)19.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (0.097999999999999 0.1)51% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
St Neots Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Real Bedford 36.12%
    St Neots Town 41.36%
    Draw 22.53%
Real BedfordDrawSt Neots Town
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.12%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 41.36%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Real Bedford