Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Neots Town win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Real Bedford had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Neots Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.8%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Real Bedford win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Neots Town would win this match.