FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK

Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
3 - 2
Woking

Samuel (59', 68'), Oliver (79')
Graham (9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kretzschmar (23'), Davison (56')
Davison (53'), Kretzschmar (70')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Gillingham and Woking.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Woking had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Woking win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Woking
40.83%	25.81%	33.36%

Both teams to score 54.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23%

49.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.23%

71.77%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9%

24.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6%

58.4%

Woking Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66%

28.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92%

64.07%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 40.83%

Woking 33.36%

Draw 25.81%

Gillingham	Draw	Woking
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.83%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.36%