Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Fairford Town FC
1 - 5
Hartpury University

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Fairford Town FC and Hartpury University.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fairford Town FC win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hartpury University had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fairford Town FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.17%) and 3-1 (6.14%). The likeliest Hartpury University win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Fairford Town FCDrawHartpury University
50.23%21.52%28.25%
Both teams to score 66.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.86%32.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.27%53.72%
Fairford Town FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72%13.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.91%40.08%
Hartpury University Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19%22.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48%56.52%
Score Analysis
    Fairford Town FC 50.23%
    Hartpury University 28.25%
    Draw 21.52%
Fairford Town FCDrawHartpury University
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 6.14%
1-0 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 4.16%
4-1 @ 3.1%
4-2 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.25%
4-3 @ 1.13%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 50.23%
1-1 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.03%
3-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-1 @ 4.48%
2-3 @ 3.32%
0-2 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.25%