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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Santa Elena Sporting Complex

Cleethorpes Town
4 - 0
Quorn

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Cleethorpes Town and Quorn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cleethorpes Town

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Last Game: Kimberley Miners Welfare 0-7 Cleethorpes Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Quorn

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Last Game: Quorn 2-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cleethorpes Town win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Quorn had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cleethorpes Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Quorn win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cleethorpes Town would win this match.

Result
Cleethorpes TownDrawQuorn
44.39% (4.648 4.65)22.22% (-0.138 -0.14)33.39% (-4.505 -4.51)
Both teams to score 67.38% (-0.52000000000001 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.18% (-0.27399999999999 -0.27)32.82% (0.279 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.49% (-0.317 -0.32)54.51% (0.323 0.32)
Cleethorpes Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (1.702 1.7)15.5% (-1.697 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.6% (3.08 3.08)44.4% (-3.075 -3.08)
Quorn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-2.263 -2.26)20.26% (2.266 2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (-3.749 -3.75)52.6% (3.753 3.75)
Score Analysis
    Cleethorpes Town 44.39%
    Quorn 33.39%
    Draw 22.23%
Cleethorpes TownDrawQuorn
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.489 0.49)
1-0 @ 5.85% (0.408 0.41)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.663 0.66)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.589 0.59)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.184 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.578 0.58)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.4 0.4)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.193 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.342 0.34)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 44.39%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.14% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.549 -0.55)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.611 -0.61)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.473 -0.47)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.39%