FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Gore

Burnham
3 - 3
Corsham Town

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Burnham and Corsham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnham win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Corsham Town had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Corsham Town win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Burnham	Draw	Corsham Town
42.32% ( -0.34)	22.54% ( -0.03)	35.14% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 66.73% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.11% (

0.26)

33.88% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.26% (

0.29)

55.73% (

-0.3)

Burnham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

-0.03)

16.72% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.38% (

-0.05)

46.61% (

0.05)

Corsham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

0.3)

19.87% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.02% (

0.49)

51.98% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Burnham 42.32%

Corsham Town 35.14%

Draw 22.54%

Burnham	Draw	Corsham Town
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 42.32%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.54%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.14%