Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round

Sep 24, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Kybunpark

St Gallen
0 - 1
AEK Athens

Muheim (32'), Gortler (52'), Fazliji (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliveira (71')
Livaja (35'), Mantalos (45+1'), Krsticic (51')

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between St Gallen and AEK Athens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	AEK Athens
37.25%	24.08%	38.67%

Both teams to score 61.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72%

41.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.32%

63.68%

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84%

22.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45%

55.55%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55%

21.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.53%

54.47%

Score Analysis

St Gallen 37.25%

AEK Athens 38.67%

Draw 24.08%

St Gallen	Draw	AEK Athens
2-1 @ 8.31% 1-0 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.25%	1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 8.49% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.67%