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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo
Valmiera

Tre Penne
0 - 3
Valmiera


Badalassi (28'), Vandi (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mena (33', 53'), Ndoye (47')
Silva Souza (37')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Tre Penne and Valmiera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tre Penne

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Last Game: Tre Penne 1-7 Breidablik
Tuesday, June 27 at 8pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Valmiera

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Valmiera 1-2 Ljubljana
Wednesday, July 19 at 4pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valmiera would win this match.

Result
Tre PenneDrawValmiera
16.01% (0.040000000000001 0.04)19.76% (0.015999999999998 0.02)64.22% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.75% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Tre Penne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.050000000000004 0.05)37.96% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)74.73% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Valmiera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26% (-0.012 -0.01)11.74% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)36.89% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tre Penne 16.01%
    Valmiera 64.22%
    Draw 19.76%
Tre PenneDrawValmiera
2-1 @ 4.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.01%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.46%
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.76%
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.3% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-4 @ 3.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.79% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.68% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 64.22%

How you voted: Tre Penne vs Valmiera

Tre Penne
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Valmiera
50.0%
10