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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 49.5% | 23.34% | 27.16% |
| Both teams to score 59.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% | 41.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% | 64.2% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% | 17.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% | 47.21% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% | 28.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% | 64.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.16% |