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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
49.5% | 23.34% | 27.16% |
Both teams to score 59.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% | 41.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.79% | 64.2% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% | 17.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.79% | 47.21% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% | 28.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.68% | 64.32% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
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