Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 85.62%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 4.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.21%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
