Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Oldham Athletic and Sunderland.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Sunderland |
| 29.89% | 25.89% | 44.22% |
| Both teams to score 52.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% | 51.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% | 73.11% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% | 31.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% | 67.82% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% | 23.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% | 56.95% |
| Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic 29.89%
Sunderland 44.21%
Draw 25.89%
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.89% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.21% |
How you voted: Oldham vs Sunderland
Oldham Athletic
60.5%Draw
18.6%Sunderland
20.9%43


