DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 29, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
 
Nuremberg logo

Kaan-Marienborn
0 - 2
Nuremberg


Tomas (16'), Kyere (48'), Schauerte (76'), Pjetrovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Geis (45'), Valentini (84')
Daehli (26'), Castrop (50')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Kaan-Marienborn and Nuremberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kaan-Marienborn

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nuremberg

Last Six:
Last Game: Nuremberg 2-0 Greuther Furth
Saturday, July 23 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 67.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Kaan-Marienborn had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-3 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Kaan-Marienborn win it was 2-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.

Result
Kaan-MarienbornDrawNuremberg
14.94% (-0.548 -0.55)17.41% (-0.153 -0.15)67.65% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 61.04% (-0.855 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.37% (-0.444 -0.44)30.64% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.05% (-0.534 -0.53)51.96% (0.541 0.54)
Kaan-Marienborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.956 -0.96)33.4% (0.963 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-1.067 -1.07)70.03% (1.072 1.07)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)8.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.93% (0.084999999999994 0.08)29.08% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kaan-Marienborn 14.94%
    Nuremberg 67.66%
    Draw 17.41%
Kaan-MarienbornDrawNuremberg
2-1 @ 4.16% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 14.94%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 17.41%
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.241 0.24)
1-3 @ 7.8% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.12% (0.211 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.184 0.18)
1-4 @ 4.84% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.42% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 4.28% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.66% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-5 @ 2.41% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.19% (0.072 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-6 @ 0.91% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 67.66%

How you voted: Kaan-Marienborn vs Nuremberg

Kaan-Marienborn
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Nuremberg
50.0%
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