DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 18, 2024 at 5pm UK

DDV-Stadion

Dynamo Dresden
2 - 0
Dusseldorf

Daferner (18' og.), Meissner (69')
Lemmer (81'), Casar (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sobottka (56'), de Wijs (74'), Klaus (81'), Tanaka (85')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Dynamo Dresden and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Dresden

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Jahn
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions

Last Game: Dusseldorf 0-0 Karlsruher
Saturday, August 10 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo Dresden	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
32.11% ( -0.09)	23.66% ( -0)	44.23% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 61.43% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.62% (

-0.02)

40.38% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.24% (

-0.03)

62.76% (

0.03)

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

-0.07)

24.56% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

-0.09)

59.05% (

0.09)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43% (

0.03)

18.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.17% (

0.05)

49.82% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Dresden 32.11%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 44.23%

Draw 23.66%

Dynamo Dresden	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.11%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 44.23%