Copa Sudamericana
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Sergio Barreto
18'
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Ayrton Costa
37'
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Silvio Romero
63'
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Jonathan Herrera
71'
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Diego Arismendi
90'+1'
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Marcelo Allende
35'
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Alvaro Brun
42'
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Gustavo Del Prete
49'
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Gustavo Del Prete
64'
Independiente vs Montevideo City Torque - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
Result
Independiente
40.86%
Draw
23.53%
Montevideo City Torque
35.61%
Both Teams to Score:
63.04%
Goals
Over 2.5
61.26%
Under 2.5
38.74%
Over 3.5
38.95%
Under 3.5
61.05%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5
80.66%
Under 0.5
19.34%
Over 1.5
48.89%
Under 1.5
51.11%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5
78.15%
Under 0.5
21.85%
Over 1.5
44.92%
Under 1.5
55.08%
Score analysis
Independiente
40.86%
Draw
23.52%
Montevideo City Torque
35.61%
Independiente
2-1
@
8.68%
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 40.86%
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 40.86%
Draw
1-1
@
10.55%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.52%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.52%
Montevideo City Torque
1-2
@
8.03%
0-1 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 35.61%
0-1 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 35.61%